PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb1fdf8c7dd3ad91b9b24879385c53f880f1dbd30

Realised P&L
$39.48
Volume
$17.8k
Markets traded
943
Open portfolio
$74.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded943
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Zcash reach $1100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2401.000$20.00+$15.20
Will AZ win on 2025-12-14? · No0.3201.000$10.00+$6.80
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-01-17? · Yes0.2301.000$10.00+$7.70
Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.7000.902$9.02+$2.02
Kings vs. Ducks · Ducks0.5301.000$5.00+$2.35
Will Trump say "Ego" in January? · No0.6801.000$4.63+$1.48
Will Amanda Anisimova be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? · No0.7901.000$3.88+$0.81
Will Martin Shkreli appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? · Yes0.2300.435$3.34+$1.57
Makina FDV above $80M one day after launch? · No0.5600.845$2.68+$0.90
Will Leavitt say "Vanity Fair" during the next White House press briefing? · No0.5701.000$2.04+$0.88
Will NUEVAYOL be played at the Super Bowl halftime show? · Yes0.2201.000$1.88+$1.46
Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027? · Yes0.2170.150$0.57$0.26
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · Yes0.1450.055$0.40$0.65
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? · Yes0.1270.018$0.37$2.32
Ventuals FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1900.017$0.17$1.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-05 05:04Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?SELL0.62$3.02
01-04 17:29Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?SELL0.06$0.22
01-04 17:16Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?SELL0.25$0.64
01-03 21:32Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?SELL0.18$0.86
01-03 14:18Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026?SELL0.14$0.45
01-03 13:26Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9?SELL0.12$1.20
01-03 09:17Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026)SELL0.21$0.42
01-03 05:32Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026?SELL0.06$0.07
01-02 12:03Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28?SELL0.25$0.63
01-02 03:12Trail Blazers vs. SpursSELL0.26$0.30
01-01 21:52Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL0.1$0.18
01-01 19:06USC Trojans vs. Michigan WolverinesSELL0.9$1.79
12-31 20:04Will Harriet Hageman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.92$2.30
12-31 13:21Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting?SELL0.49$0.59
12-30 15:24Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (December 29 - January 4)SELL0.73$3.47