0xb1fdf8c7dd3ad91b9b24879385c53f880f1dbd30
- Realised P&L
- $39.48
- Volume
- $17.8k
- Markets traded
- 943
- Open portfolio
- $74.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded943
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.67at 0.649Will Barack Obama attend Dick Cheney's funeral?
- +$13.70at 0.315Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
- +$13.62at 0.245Will Israel strike Gaza on November 25?
- +$11.13at 0.061Will France win Junior Eurovision 2025?
- +$8.29at 0.153Will Kingdom Come: Deliverance II win Outstanding Story-Rich Game in the 2025 Steam Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-05 05:04 | Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | SELL | 0.62 | $3.02 |
| 01-04 17:29 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.22 |
| 01-04 17:16 | Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.64 |
| 01-03 21:32 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.86 |
| 01-03 14:18 | Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in January 2026? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.45 |
| 01-03 13:26 | Will Threads be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 9? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.20 |
| 01-03 09:17 | Will "The Grinch" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week? (January 6, 2026) | SELL | 0.21 | $0.42 |
| 01-03 05:32 | Will Phantom launch a token by March 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.07 |
| 01-02 12:03 | Will Pete Carroll be fired by February 28? | SELL | 0.25 | $0.63 |
| 01-02 03:12 | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | SELL | 0.26 | $0.30 |
| 01-01 21:52 | Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.18 |
| 01-01 19:06 | USC Trojans vs. Michigan Wolverines | SELL | 0.9 | $1.79 |
| 12-31 20:04 | Will Harriet Hageman win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.30 |
| 12-31 13:21 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the February Meeting? | SELL | 0.49 | $0.59 |
| 12-30 15:24 | Will Trump say "Ass" or "Shit" this week? (December 29 - January 4) | SELL | 0.73 | $3.47 |