PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb1fb434c92ae291c8f51bc3280b1312e9ba179b2

Realised P&L
$-100.49
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$37.05

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)7.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.4660.225$25.33$27.14
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6800.935$11.69+$3.19
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026? · Yes0.6400.004$0.03$4.92
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.3490.000$0.00$36.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
01-24 19:21Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.3490470947$36.63
01-24 02:26Theo FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.4661126171$52.47
01-22 09:46Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.23$45.54
01-21 19:36Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?SELL0.989$4.95
01-21 19:36Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?SELL0.53$2.65
01-21 19:36Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?SELL0.958$4.79
01-21 19:36Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?SELL0.01$0.10
01-21 18:58Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.25$49.50
01-19 14:34Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?BUY0.64$4.95
01-18 16:10Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?BUY0.961$4.80
01-18 15:49Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?BUY0.989$4.95
01-18 15:32Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?BUY0.01377$0.07
01-18 15:18Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?BUY0.013$0.07
01-18 14:10Will Paradex launch a token by February 28, 2026?BUY0.45$2.25
01-17 01:35Will Teddy Swims perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?SELL0.23$6.90