lokhds
0xb1faedb1ee4900003fdb76ebc1700a498108273a
- Realised P&L
- $6.91
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $313.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party win the WV-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.981 | $75.05 | +$1.61 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.973 | 0.981 | $56.09 | +$0.43 |
| US takes Panama Canal before 2027? · No | 0.973 | 0.972 | $54.94 | −$0.06 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-13 House seat? · Yes | 0.959 | 0.955 | $54.15 | −$0.23 |
| Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? · No | 0.982 | 0.992 | $53.53 | +$0.51 |
| Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027? · Yes | 0.944 | 0.367 | $19.47 | −$30.55 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.30at 0.976Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
- +$1.70at 0.981Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
- +$1.27at 0.965Will Cătălin Predoiu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
- +$0.51at 0.978Brex IPO before 2027?
- +$0.44at 0.978Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 13:29 | Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $19.56 |