0xb1f81740B1Ab10754046f1986f66d1F2782f6117-1775676625211
0xb1f81740b1ab10754046f1986f66d1f2782f6117
- Realised P&L
- $-66.70
- Volume
- $22.8k
- Markets traded
- 191
- Open portfolio
- $0.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded191
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.09at 0.298Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$7.06at 0.348Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$5.19at 0.375Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$3.94at 0.605Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
- +$3.58at 0.419Bitcoin Up or Down - April 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 06:32 | Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $4.00 |
| 09-14 06:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 September 14-20? | BUY | 0.0289999997 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 17:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 05:46 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.52 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.7899999921 | $1.00 |
| 07-28 05:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28? | SELL | 0.0373926188 | $1.90 |
| 07-27 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 28? | BUY | 0.0196290117 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 05:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.28 |
| 07-27 05:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 07-27 05:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 15:28 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | SELL | 0.49 | $1.96 |
| 07-25 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 05:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $1.00 |
| 07-25 05:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 25? | BUY | 0.0060000001 | $1.00 |