rmnfd
0xb1f6f8d1f7c1a81ef2a45604032d2a4608fee582
- Realised P&L
- $604.79
- Volume
- $157.3k
- Markets traded
- 167
- Open portfolio
- $161.21
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded167
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will XRP reach $1.20 in August? · No | 0.700 | 0.655 | $65.50 | −$4.50 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in August? · No | 0.900 | 0.875 | $43.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Chainlink dip to $6 in August? · No | 0.900 | 0.915 | $39.99 | +$0.66 |
| Will XRP reach $1.40 in August? · No | 0.900 | 0.958 | $11.97 | +$0.72 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.174 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.40 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.112 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.20 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.29 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.013 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.30 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.30 |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.105 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.54 |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.040 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.051 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$916.88at 0.595Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?
- +$538.69at 0.847Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in January?
- +$512.58at 0.804Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?
- +$378.86at 0.856Will XRP reach $1.80 in February?
- +$378.44at 0.843Will XRP reach $1.60 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 22:04 | Will XRP reach $1.40 in July? | BUY | 0.9 | $43.88 |
| 06-13 22:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.58 | $11.60 |
| 05-25 07:21 | Will Chainlink reach $12 in May? | BUY | 0.95 | $125.62 |
| 05-24 09:19 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | BUY | 0.91 | $115.44 |
| 05-24 09:16 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | BUY | 0.9 | $16.50 |
| 05-22 18:07 | Will Chainlink reach $12 in May? | BUY | 0.94 | $23.50 |
| 05-22 17:23 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? | BUY | 0.96 | $181.98 |
| 05-22 17:07 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | BUY | 0.87 | $15.66 |
| 05-22 09:49 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? | BUY | 0.93 | $8.37 |
| 05-21 19:55 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | BUY | 0.87 | $55.16 |
| 05-21 12:35 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? | BUY | 0.93 | $67.34 |
| 05-20 16:59 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | BUY | 0.85 | $85.00 |
| 05-20 15:23 | Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May? | BUY | 0.85 | $170.00 |
| 05-19 10:43 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? | BUY | 0.87 | $78.34 |
| 05-19 10:18 | Will XRP reach $1.60 in May? | BUY | 0.87 | $174.00 |