PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rmnfd

0xb1f6f8d1f7c1a81ef2a45604032d2a4608fee582

Realised P&L
$-569.23
Volume
$161.3k
Markets traded
174
Open portfolio
$274.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded174
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in November? · No0.8060.785$274.73−$7.35
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1740.000$0.00−$17.40
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1120.000$0.00−$11.20
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0830.000$0.00−$8.29
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0130.000$0.00−$1.30
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0930.000$0.00−$9.30
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00−$10.54
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0400.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Solana reach $90 in August? · No0.9220.000$0.00−$185.11
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in August? · No0.8200.000$0.00−$410.00
Will XRP reach $1.40 in August? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$11.25
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$5.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-26 20:44Will Ethereum reach $2,500 in October?BUY0.8$8.00
08-12 21:59Will XRP reach $1.20 in August?BUY0.92$138.00
07-07 22:04Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?BUY0.9$43.88
06-13 22:00Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.58$11.60
05-25 07:21Will Chainlink reach $12 in May?BUY0.95$125.62
05-24 09:19Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?BUY0.91$115.44
05-24 09:16Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?BUY0.9$16.50
05-22 18:07Will Chainlink reach $12 in May?BUY0.94$23.50
05-22 17:23Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.96$181.98
05-22 17:07Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?BUY0.87$15.66
05-22 09:49Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.93$8.37
05-21 19:55Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?BUY0.87$55.16
05-21 12:35Will XRP reach $1.60 in May?BUY0.93$67.34
05-20 16:59Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?BUY0.85$85.00
05-20 15:23Will XRP dip to $1.20 in May?BUY0.85$170.00