PolyBot

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Traders

Etalon

0xb1e40c9248a60b3f4a34fa3ec8115156804b068b

Realised P&L
$-923.26
Volume
$76.6k
Markets traded
346
Open portfolio
$115.94

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded346
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration75.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)8.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1070.045$40.31−$56.03
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1490.085$28.55−$21.45
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.009$16.49−$183.51
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1120.070$13.08−$7.92
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.029$4.92−$15.08
Will Solana reach $240 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1750.029$4.39−$22.61
Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1030.042$4.02−$5.98
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1000.029$3.14−$7.87
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.049$1.05−$0.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.3910.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on February 26? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Down0.2330.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on February 26? · Yes0.0920.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down on April 2? · Up0.1390.000$0.00−$1.00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 10:44Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0899999986$1.95
07-25 05:42Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase July 21-27?BUY0.2599998648$1.00
07-01 20:59Will Ethereum reach $4,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.08$45.98
06-27 23:31Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 2?BUY0.0365612301$1.00
06-27 23:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 1?BUY0.01$1.00
06-27 23:29Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 1?BUY0.0233348666$1.00
06-27 23:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 30?BUY0.011999988$1.00
06-27 23:28Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 30?BUY0.032$1.00
06-25 18:14Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 26?BUY0.0628428787$4.00
06-22 09:56Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.044999994$7.00
06-15 11:30Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1488372093$50.00
06-15 06:20Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?BUY0.18$9.00
06-14 23:24Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$11.00
06-14 23:20Will Solana reach $220 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0879851254$5.00
06-11 05:10Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.3599999942$24.63