PolyBot

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Traders

0xb1e2bc2e23e2b48b4961349bf730e4296fac49ab

0xb1e2bc2e23e2b48b4961349bf730e4296fac49ab

Realised P&L
$23.44
Volume
$442.00
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$65.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.3%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next OpenAI GPT Luna model be released on or prior to September 22, 2026? · Yes0.2360.735$37.33+$25.33
Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3560.375$6.99+$0.35
Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0600.081$5.63+$1.48
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.7200.795$4.44+$0.42
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026? · No0.2260.075$3.97$8.02
Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.1430.069$3.79$4.11
Next OpenAI GPT Terra (5.7+) released by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3660.140$3.46$5.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 16:09Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?SELL0.839$1.68
09-21 12:28Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?SELL0.901$0.32
09-21 12:28Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 21, 2026?SELL0.923$1.06
09-21 11:16Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
09-21 10:54Will any AI model reach 1560 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
09-17 19:00Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.063$2.00
09-15 04:55Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?BUY0.72$4.02
09-15 04:54Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.152$1.90
09-13 01:28Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$2.00
09-12 23:53Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.18$2.00
09-10 00:56Will OpenAI have the best AI Agent at the end of September 2026?BUY0.06$2.00
09-09 03:46Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.14$2.00
09-08 21:06Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.14$2.00
09-08 19:59Gemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.14$2.00
09-08 18:17Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.26$2.00