bdsbsd
0xb1e15f41987c8465beee286b7e81527fcb8eca4c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.52
- Volume
- $826.51
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $9.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.987 | 0.998 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.780 | $4.11 | −$0.89 |
| France vs. England: Team to Win · France | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27?
- +$0.00at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27?
- +$-0.11at 0.999Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 08:44 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $78 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-28 04:34 | Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.9869998253 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 07:26 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 07:49 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 06-15 07:49 | Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 07:49 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 06-15 07:49 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 07:48 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 06-15 07:47 | Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 06-15 07:47 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $99.90 |
| 06-15 07:47 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $100.00 |
| 05-27 02:51 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 27? | BUY | 0.9989998306 | $1.71 |
| 05-27 02:50 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 27? | BUY | 0.998999002 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 02:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 02:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 27? | BUY | 0.9989999907 | $97.00 |