PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DavidUnderwood4784

0xb1e152478c408b3bc834ef6447f4a67aa3dad9c1

Realised P&L
$-434.11
Volume
$139.0k
Markets traded
268
Open portfolio
$425.68

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded268
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? · $600.7100.780$340.08+$30.52
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · No0.7500.790$81.37+$4.12
Will Bernadette Wilson win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.7700.720$2.16$0.15
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? · No0.4900.972$0.97+$0.48
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · No0.8400.955$0.95+$0.12
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1300.009$0.15$1.98
Will Consensys IPO by June 30 2026? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00$0.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-22 01:27Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?SELL0.41$323.49
03-20 14:35Will Montenegro win on 2026-03-31?BUY0.88$694.32
03-18 13:33Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?SELL0.69$204.24
03-16 22:14Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by March 31, 2026?BUY0.73$216.08
03-16 07:41Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?SELL0.51$232.56
03-16 00:20Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?SELL0.65$508.30
03-15 13:11Will Israel strike 3 countries in March 2026?BUY0.67$305.52
03-14 12:33Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?BUY0.65$508.30
03-12 15:57California Golden Bears vs. Virginia CavaliersBUY0.898$684.28
03-10 13:56Deel IPO before 2027?SELL0.78$25.74
03-10 13:14Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.64$53.12
03-07 06:44Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL0.19$7.41
03-07 06:40Will Donna Miller be the Democratic Nominee for IL-02?SELL0.47$202.57
03-06 15:55Deel IPO before 2027?BUY0.84$27.72
03-05 14:24Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY0.17$6.63