FitzP
0xb1df6a69eaa5aaf196257856dc240f25b45f309d
- Realised P&L
- $164.35
- Volume
- $79.9k
- Markets traded
- 153
- Open portfolio
- $77.39
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded153
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration54.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tom Holland be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.234 | 0.128 | $19.11 | −$15.89 |
| Will Michael be the #1 searched movie on Google this year? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.051 | $17.93 | +$5.43 |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.335 | $17.14 | −$0.77 |
| Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.355 | $12.24 | +$2.24 |
| Will Zendaya be the #1 searched actor on Google this year? · Yes | 0.096 | 0.053 | $8.25 | −$6.75 |
| Will "Resident Evil" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No | 0.748 | 0.025 | $2.46 | −$72.54 |
| Will "Resident Evil" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No | 0.210 | 0.004 | $0.14 | −$6.17 |
| Will "Resident Evil" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? · No | 0.340 | 0.003 | $0.13 | −$14.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$993.30at 0.547Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$373.01at 0.216Will the announcers say "Messi" during the Switzerland vs Algeria FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$367.52at 0.695Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
- +$283.13at 0.440Will the announcers say "Rival" or "Rivalry" during the Portugal vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$238.63at 0.541 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 19:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $64.69 |
| 09-17 19:39 | Will there be at least 5000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $66.35 |
| 09-17 19:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $205.67 |
| 09-14 13:56 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999982 | $110.20 |
| 09-14 12:01 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.3499999971 | $17.91 |
| 09-13 06:41 | Manchester United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Manchester United FC O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8299999927 | $14.86 |
| 09-13 06:34 | Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 06:27 | Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | SELL | 0.28 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 12:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999978 | $58.00 |
| 09-12 12:37 | Will 30-34 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 12:36 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 12:34 | Will there be between 5 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $25.00 |
| 09-12 12:29 | Will there be between 0 and 5 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on September 30? | SELL | 0.7 | $35.00 |
| 09-12 11:26 | Will 25-29 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.26 | $28.24 |
| 09-12 11:22 | Will 20-24 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between September 7-September 13? | SELL | 0.14 | $15.56 |