TheBigBingo
0xb1cccb486183d88063357daee51f2ffd875a8f4c
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $237.03
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-13.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.040 | $237.03 | −$325.54 |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$205.33 |
| Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? · No | 0.258 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$626.48 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.232 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$120.08 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 02:54 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.24 | $100.08 |
| 05-16 21:57 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.2999416667 | $35.99 |
| 05-16 21:56 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.29 | $118.90 |
| 05-16 08:51 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.099744 | $199.49 |
| 05-14 06:26 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $53.90 |
| 04-30 06:07 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.3399999401 | $2.61 |
| 04-30 06:06 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.3422330077 | $90.00 |
| 04-30 05:51 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.1062308573 | $149.00 |
| 04-30 05:50 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.0812658443 | $30.57 |
| 04-30 05:44 | Will Steve Hilton advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.77 |
| 04-30 05:43 | Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.077 | $20.03 |
| 06-27 05:21 | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BUY | 0.2699999991 | $157.08 |
| 06-27 04:41 | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BUY | 0.32 | $48.25 |