Mr.BAI
0xb1c96868473ee37ff63772b67fb3094bd792405d
- Realised P&L
- $-280.64
- Volume
- $24.7k
- Markets traded
- 94
- Open portfolio
- $21.91
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded94
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration8.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.555 | $21.91 | −$0.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.45at 0.550Bengals vs. Ravens
- +$31.00at 0.620Yankees vs. Guardians - Game 1
- +$24.45at 0.300Giants vs. Panthers
- +$6.39at 0.500Thunder vs. Trail Blazers
- +$5.20at 0.500Will GD win a majority in Georgia parliamentary election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 12:17 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 28 to September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $22.11 |
| 09-28 00:13 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $23.01 |
| 09-26 03:09 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from September 26 to September 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $21.61 |
| 09-13 03:11 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.74 |
| 09-13 03:05 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.978 | $4.99 |
| 09-13 03:02 | Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.09 |
| 08-21 17:48 | US ceasefire against Iran continues through August 22? | BUY | 0.985 | $5.02 |
| 08-21 17:46 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.929 | $4.74 |
| 08-21 17:45 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 23, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 08-21 17:44 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 08-13 02:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.84 |
| 08-13 02:48 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.97 | $4.95 |
| 08-13 02:47 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $5.05 |
| 07-27 04:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $4.40 |
| 07-27 04:34 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 27? | BUY | 0.989 | $4.77 |