12681299
0xb1c8f5676fbdbadc457c51fba36923767922023a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.0k
- Volume
- $800.5k
- Markets traded
- 1,753
- Open portfolio
- $71.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,753
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$610.85at 0.756Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-30?
- +$577.85at 0.323Will ES Troyes AC win on 2026-03-07?
- +$550.23at 0.820Will Canada win on 2026-07-04?
- +$531.71at 0.893England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance
- +$519.05at 0.795Will Algeria win on 2026-07-02?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:34 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | SELL | 0.51 | $135.15 |
| 09-17 23:29 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | SELL | 0.53 | $140.45 |
| 09-17 23:25 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.58 | $174.00 |
| 09-17 23:20 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | SELL | 0.427 | $106.75 |
| 09-17 23:05 | Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | BUY | 0.579 | $144.75 |
| 09-17 21:56 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.54 | $124.20 |
| 09-17 21:55 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.524 | $125.76 |
| 09-17 18:35 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-17 14:38 | Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-17 14:37 | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.60 |
| 09-17 14:37 | Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.54 | $5.40 |
| 09-17 14:36 | Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 09-17 14:35 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-17? | BUY | 0.63 | $6.30 |
| 09-17 14:34 | Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |