tgshduxvs
0xb1c8a5d48a69aa726e261d48092639329763dd8e
- Realised P&L
- $-4.1k
- Volume
- $491.9k
- Markets traded
- 585
- Open portfolio
- $102.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded585
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration95.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.211Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?
- +$755.19at 0.325Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on September 7?
- +$574.45at 0.726Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 19?
- +$539.11at 0.594Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 18?
- +$530.54at 0.029Will Hyperliquid hit $34 in January?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 23:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4602446473 | $25.00 |
| 10-11 23:35 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | SELL | 0.42 | $20.97 |
| 10-11 23:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4495504464 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 23:05 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4870388017 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 22:57 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12? | BUY | 0.4215686227 | $20.00 |
| 10-11 22:11 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on October 13? | BUY | 0.629999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-11 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.65 | $138.75 |
| 10-11 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.7574013158 | $18.42 |
| 10-11 04:54 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.79 | $14.09 |
| 10-11 04:30 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.8939399909 | $58.99 |
| 10-11 04:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.9001222402 | $100.00 |
| 10-11 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.8296082261 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 03:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.7899999997 | $50.00 |
| 10-11 03:27 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | SELL | 0.7 | $21.00 |
| 10-11 02:59 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 11? | BUY | 0.7552312511 | $56.00 |