PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb1ad47e931e04bae88c538b03129c932e6b0079d

Realised P&L
$-12.18
Volume
$606.00
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$28.64

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration80.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)47.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration28.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.8400.895$8.05+$0.49
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? · No0.7600.925$6.47+$1.16
H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026? · No0.5000.935$4.67+$2.17
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · No0.9000.905$4.53+$0.03
Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027? · Yes0.0900.034$1.70$2.80
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.5330.087$1.23$6.24
Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.4100.075$1.05$4.69
Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? · No0.2260.127$0.64$0.49
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? · Yes0.2000.043$0.30$1.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 19:46Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.76$5.32
07-03 10:06Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.747$3.73
06-28 04:47Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.84$7.56
06-24 17:01Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?BUY0.073$1.17
06-22 15:17Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.9$4.50
06-20 14:21Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026?BUY0.855$8.55
06-16 19:55U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.92$10.12
06-14 12:55Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.85$4.25
06-13 06:20Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.2$3.80
06-08 05:33Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.88$4.40
06-06 12:10Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.521$4.17
05-24 20:12Will the US recognize Palestine before 2027?BUY0.09$4.50
04-25 20:56U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.8$7.20
04-25 20:56U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? BUY0.2$1.40
04-25 20:56Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027?BUY0.59$9.44