rkname
0xb1a26201b417afca0a116f6b90fe312189ab68dc
- Realised P&L
- $18.49
- Volume
- $410.96
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $6.07
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration69.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.785 | $5.10 | +$0.10 |
| Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.455 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$28.09at 0.270Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?
- +$5.94at 0.632Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08?
- +$1.87at 0.730Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?
- +$1.76at 0.740Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$1.60at 0.759Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 12:23 | Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-11-08? | BUY | 0.469999906 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 12:19 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-04? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 19:18 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.7799999813 | $5.00 |
| 10-23 19:17 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25? | BUY | 0.2599999964 | $10.00 |
| 10-23 19:16 | Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.4330601836 | $12.74 |
| 10-09 11:42 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 11:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.7199999654 | $5.00 |
| 09-19 15:59 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7399999734 | $5.00 |
| 09-16 10:41 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-12 10:32 | Will The Odyssey win Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.5099999949 | $15.00 |
| 09-08 16:30 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-08? | BUY | 0.6199999864 | $10.00 |
| 05-11 22:13 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5199999989 | $126.69 |