Wolf3ABM581
0xb196d8b8c7fa33d6adf3845a876e6581d4b7ea27
- Realised P&L
- $-691.17
- Volume
- $14.3k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $151.01
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.280 | 0.255 | $68.32 | −$6.68 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · No | 0.170 | 0.135 | $59.56 | −$15.44 |
| Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.065 | $13.89 | −$11.11 |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.093 | 0.035 | $9.24 | −$15.76 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes | 0.149 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? · Yes | 0.056 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$499.99 |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$95.00 |
| US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$75.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · No | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$188.10at 0.210US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$142.50at 0.400US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 06:35 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0933567707 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 06:34 | Israel military action against Yemen by September 30? | BUY | 0.1169999998 | $25.00 |
| 09-11 06:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.2799195375 | $75.00 |
| 09-11 06:30 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | BUY | 0.1699999998 | $75.00 |
| 09-11 06:29 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 15? | BUY | 0.06 | $75.00 |
| 07-22 21:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 07-22 21:02 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4199999953 | $50.00 |
| 02-23 19:21 | US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $95.00 |
| 02-23 19:21 | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999968 | $50.00 |
| 02-23 19:18 | US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $100.00 |
| 02-23 19:17 | US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.055951834 | $500.00 |
| 01-12 20:39 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $95.00 |
| 01-07 20:58 | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.1490757305 | $100.00 |