PolyBot

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Traders

jordankallman

0xb196a94238e5b81b85bfd478364e9e78b8f99926

Realised P&L
$2.33
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
48
Open portfolio
$26.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded48
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0130.005$17.06$27.93
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? · Yes0.0900.025$8.98$24.02
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.3500.000$0.00$30.00
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00$20.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0490.000$0.00$2.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00$20.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 60% on the FrontierMath Benchmark by? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$4.00
Will Google Gemini 3 score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark? · Yes0.4310.000$0.00$50.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$20.00
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7? · Yes0.2960.000$0.00$50.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$15.00
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026? · Yes0.1230.000$0.00$7.00
New "Stranger Things" episode released by January 31? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00$10.00
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes0.0150.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-30 20:01Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0246751273$5.00
06-30 20:01Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0309999941$5.00
06-30 20:01Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0379999928$5.00
06-20 00:28Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0093394866$15.00
06-14 21:14Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0534297395$10.00
06-14 21:13Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
06-14 16:54Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1649999934$20.00
06-14 16:53Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0219999956$5.00
06-14 16:53Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0549999975$20.00
06-14 16:52Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.0179999965$5.00
06-09 01:18Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.016$20.00
06-09 01:16Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.694$20.82
03-16 19:33Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.0460000005$5.00
03-16 19:33New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? SELL0.1$5.00
02-18 17:09US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?BUY0.1699998861$1.00