jordankallman
0xb196a94238e5b81b85bfd478364e9e78b8f99926
- Realised P&L
- $2.33
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $26.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.63at 0.080Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$151.83at 0.248Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?
- +$115.68at 0.302Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$61.78at 0.418Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$51.16at 0.494US x Venezuela military engagement by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 20:01 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0246751273 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 20:01 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0309999941 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 20:01 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0379999928 | $5.00 |
| 06-20 00:28 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0093394866 | $15.00 |
| 06-14 21:14 | Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0534297395 | $10.00 |
| 06-14 21:13 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 16:54 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1649999934 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 16:53 | Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999956 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 16:53 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0549999975 | $20.00 |
| 06-14 16:52 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0179999965 | $5.00 |
| 06-09 01:18 | Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.016 | $20.00 |
| 06-09 01:16 | Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.694 | $20.82 |
| 03-16 19:33 | Netanyahu out by March 31? | BUY | 0.0460000005 | $5.00 |
| 03-16 19:33 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? | SELL | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 02-18 17:09 | US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699998861 | $1.00 |