PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

a534g

0xb195b401266ba8a35d03027205f87908267bb9d5

Realised P&L
$182.92
Volume
$30.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$637.44

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0220.024$637.44+$37.46
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$30.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$20.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2010.000$0.00$40.00
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00$5.00
Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? · Yes0.1960.000$0.00$10.00
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$10.00
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yes0.2700.000$0.00$10.00
Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31? · No0.1340.000$0.00$300.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 08:05Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.0348201816$5.00
07-09 14:38Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0609999944$10.00
07-09 09:19Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.32$30.00
07-09 09:18Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.16$20.00
07-09 09:18Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2009999961$40.00
08-23 02:58Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0221198466$600.00
06-09 15:39Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?BUY0.1766842467$122.42
05-08 22:20Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31?BUY0.1344792288$300.00
05-06 10:26Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?BUY0.2699999806$10.00
05-06 10:26Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?BUY0.1959999849$10.00