a534g
0xb195b401266ba8a35d03027205f87908267bb9d5
- Realised P&L
- $182.92
- Volume
- $30.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $637.44
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.022 | 0.024 | $637.44 | +$37.46 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.00 |
| Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31? · No | 0.134 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$570.45at 0.177Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 08:05 | Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.0348201816 | $5.00 |
| 07-09 14:38 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0609999944 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 09:19 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.32 | $30.00 |
| 07-09 09:18 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $20.00 |
| 07-09 09:18 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2009999961 | $40.00 |
| 08-23 02:58 | Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0221198466 | $600.00 |
| 06-09 15:39 | Trump x Epstein files made public in 2025? | BUY | 0.1766842467 | $122.42 |
| 05-08 22:20 | Will Trump lower tariffs on China by July 31? | BUY | 0.1344792288 | $300.00 |
| 05-06 10:26 | Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope? | BUY | 0.2699999806 | $10.00 |
| 05-06 10:26 | Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope? | BUY | 0.1959999849 | $10.00 |