fractaldu
0xb1929cf214ce68a197a9dedbffa3e54b038914dd
- Realised P&L
- $1.9k
- Volume
- $1.28M
- Markets traded
- 3,021
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,021
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.18at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C or higher on May 20?
- +$14.28at 0.981Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on May 25?
- +$13.78at 0.969Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 35°C on August 13?
- +$12.10at 0.991Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
- +$11.90at 0.993Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 09:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $467.04 |
| 09-21 09:46 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $204.80 |
| 09-21 08:12 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.95 |
| 09-21 08:07 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $47.40 |
| 09-21 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $332.31 |
| 09-21 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $261.20 |
| 09-21 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 09-21 06:39 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.999 | $870.29 |
| 09-19 19:14 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $44.92 |
| 09-19 16:54 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $163.98 |
| 09-19 15:38 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $289.72 |
| 09-19 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $329.37 |
| 09-19 14:20 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $15.97 |
| 09-19 08:06 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $184.81 |
| 09-19 08:04 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $251.75 |