MiLive
0xb17edd2dd1a681526b21ea6689170cc4a07222be
- Realised P&L
- $85.8k
- Volume
- $13.22M
- Markets traded
- 7,882
- Open portfolio
- $6.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded7,882
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will FC Andorra win on 2026-09-26? · Yes | 0.988 | 1.000 | $3.3k | +$37.45 |
| Iceland vs. Estonia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Under | 0.998 | 1.000 | $2.6k | +$3.41 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.880 | 0.959 | $95.85 | +$7.85 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.3kat 0.534Will Como 1907 win on 2026-04-21?
- +$3.8kat 0.812Will US Cremonese win on 2025-12-07?
- +$3.7kat 0.165Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2025-12-20?
- +$3.6kat 0.010Cavaliers vs. Raptors: O/U 182.5
- +$2.8kat 0.193Will the government shutdown end November 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 16:47 | Iceland vs. Estonia: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.98 | $108.78 |
| 09-26 16:17 | Will FC Andorra win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.9632875437 | $206.87 |
| 09-26 16:14 | Will FC Andorra win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.9 | $0.37 |
| 09-26 14:51 | Will Slovenia vs. Scotland end in a draw? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.6k |
| 09-22 20:52 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.975 | $9.75 |
| 09-22 20:52 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.9745 | $19.49 |
| 09-22 20:52 | Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-22? | BUY | 0.9739808917 | $24.47 |
| 09-22 20:50 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.99 | $29.70 |
| 09-22 20:50 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9861852496 | $589.42 |
| 09-22 20:49 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.9 | $90.11 |
| 09-22 20:48 | Will Real Madrid CF Femenino vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.87 | $16.50 |
| 09-20 20:58 | SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.999 | $82.43 |
| 09-20 20:56 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $198.00 |
| 09-20 20:56 | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.9854428443 | $2.2k |
| 09-20 20:54 | Will CD Leganés win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.99 | $75.24 |