0xB177bECf01847ED1cF16aF8d69995A62158fceEE-1767870250402
0xb177becf01847ed1cf16af8d69995a62158fceee
- Realised P&L
- $-280.31
- Volume
- $18.5k
- Markets traded
- 40
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded40
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)39.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration93.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? · Yes | 0.946 | 0.967 | $1.0k | +$22.41 |
| U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? · Yes | 0.226 | 0.110 | $52.00 | −$55.00 |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes | 0.690 | 0.140 | $19.28 | −$75.72 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.68at 0.402Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$27.93at 0.247Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
- +$10.12at 0.747Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in April?
- +$6.97at 0.430Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
- +$6.35at 0.718Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:23 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.2365790665 | $100.00 |
| 09-04 05:45 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | BUY | 0.9458023337 | $1000.00 |
| 08-07 04:56 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.956 | $100.86 |
| 08-05 07:25 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | SELL | 0.3230797293 | $134.61 |
| 07-20 03:59 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.9478648364 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 10:50 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3524999812 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 20:20 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.041 | $5.89 |
| 07-14 20:18 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | SELL | 0.33 | $53.96 |
| 07-14 07:14 | Will STRC hit $100 by September 30? | BUY | 0.2399999986 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 04:23 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | SELL | 0.46 | $106.97 |
| 07-11 07:56 | Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.423 | $35.54 |
| 07-10 12:49 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.165 | $45.65 |
| 07-10 12:49 | Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.67 | $21.27 |
| 07-07 20:03 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.25 | $46.30 |
| 07-07 17:39 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | SELL | 0.04 | $8.33 |