kifsdvg758
0xb17751e8a531d6860584a1bb3239e68f4fd08c85
- Realised P&L
- $-5.20
- Volume
- $94.64
- Markets traded
- 39
- Open portfolio
- $2.67
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded39
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)27.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes | 0.930 | 1.000 | $1.68 | +$0.12 |
| Will Bank of America fail by end of 2026? · No | 0.992 | 0.978 | $1.00 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.39at 0.804Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
- +$0.39at 0.768Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$0.07at 0.917Will Anthropic have the top AI model at the end of March 2026?
- +$0.04at 0.971Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
- +$0.02at 0.979Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on March 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-01 05:19 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.9299995588 | $1.56 |
| 05-22 13:54 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 05-17 03:10 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPC? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 05-17 03:06 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.984 | $0.99 |
| 05-16 06:53 | Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.990999999 | $1.01 |
| 05-16 06:45 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.02 |
| 05-15 04:36 | Bank of England increases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.02 |
| 05-15 04:32 | Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | SELL | 0.813 | $0.85 |
| 05-14 05:24 | Will OpenAI announce a tablet in 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999809 | $1.01 |
| 05-08 04:07 | Will annual inflation increase by ≥4.1% in April? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.00 |
| 05-08 04:05 | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.01 |
| 05-06 04:19 | Josh O'Connor announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.01 |
| 05-06 04:03 | Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.05 |
| 05-05 06:43 | Will Mauricio Cárdenas win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.05 |
| 05-05 06:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.01 |