0xB175A6F6bAa64434217ae4e5079Ee3338b48E419-1768584629161
0xb175a6f6baa64434217ae4e5079ee3338b48e419
- Realised P&L
- $-13.44
- Volume
- $949.53
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $130.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.338 | 0.325 | $58.50 | −$2.30 |
| Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.145 | $32.43 | +$13.40 |
| Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.345 | $28.16 | +$12.65 |
| Will the Student List win 45-50% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.255 | $11.55 | −$1.59 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? · No | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.40 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.91at 0.550Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
- +$13.48at 0.690Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24?
- +$5.51at 0.730Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31?
- +$-0.94at 0.160Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31?
- +$-58.00at 0.387Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 09:15 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.34 | $13.60 |
| 09-29 22:31 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.33 | $18.15 |
| 09-29 22:10 | Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.33 | $11.55 |
| 09-28 17:43 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.13 | $5.20 |
| 09-27 10:56 | Will the Student List win 40-45% of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.19 | $15.51 |
| 09-27 10:51 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.68 |
| 09-27 10:50 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.08 | $4.80 |
| 09-27 10:46 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.07 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 10:30 | Will the Student List win 50% or more of the vote in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 01-31 18:51 | Will Forsen beat xQc's Minecraft speedrun record by March 31? | BUY | 0.73 | $14.90 |
| 01-30 23:08 | Gov Shutdown Odds >90% Friday Night (12-1 AM)? | BUY | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 01-26 00:02 | Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31? | SELL | 0.13 | $4.06 |
| 01-23 17:51 | Serbian Parliamentary Election called before 2027? | BUY | 0.44 | $1.20 |
| 01-23 16:37 | Will Trump admin release any more Epstein related files by January 24? | BUY | 0.6899999837 | $30.00 |
| 01-20 00:01 | Will xQc beat Forsen's Minecraft speedrun record by January 31? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |