0xb16dc3532170bf6099c9bd809118038dd5ac54b6
0xb16dc3532170bf6099c9bd809118038dd5ac54b6
- Realised P&L
- $-2.41
- Volume
- $188.88
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $3.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.540 | $1.29 | +$0.29 |
| Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.560 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
| Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.415 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.79at 0.288Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks in North Carolina?
- +$2.50at 0.379Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,450 Week of August 10 2026?
- +$1.94at 0.440Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $2.80 Week of August 17 2026?
- +$1.72at 0.470WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 18?
- +$1.72at 0.470Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:21 | Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 08:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $184 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 23:26 | Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,020 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 07:53 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 2? | BUY | 0.3099999473 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 13:41 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 1? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 05:39 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $88 on October 1? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 20:41 | Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.07% in September? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 10:19 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $525 in September? | BUY | 0.4199998908 | $1.00 |
| 09-27 02:06 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 10:25 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 02:12 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $122.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 09-24 18:04 | Will Costco say "Spending" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-23 10:02 | Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $132.50 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.7499998742 | $1.49 |
| 09-23 07:53 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $1.49 |
| 09-22 23:38 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $187 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.5399998105 | $1.14 |