0xb16753e523B6E4b154E1b17fE6628D0996f20061-1777887836816
0xb16753e523b6e4b154e1b17fe6628d0996f20061
- Realised P&L
- $-6.24
- Volume
- $40.40
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $0.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-15.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.255 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? · Yes | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? · Yes | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.63at 0.617Will United States win on 2026-06-19?
- +$0.63at 0.617Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09?
- +$0.48at 0.681Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12?
- +$0.01at 0.995Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 15:30 | Will Fulham FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 09-11 15:29 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 05:28 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 06-19 07:26 | Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 11:25 | Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 06:39 | Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 06-08 08:07 | Will Indonesia win on 2026-06-09? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 05-18 04:54 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 05-05 16:16 | Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 18:01 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 16:01 | Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 15:50 | Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.00 |
| 05-04 10:31 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | BUY | 0.3799999012 | $1.00 |