rago
0xb16373f900798ad6e26a169341c68c0d710e6062
- Realised P&L
- $1.3k
- Volume
- $159.2k
- Markets traded
- 358
- Open portfolio
- $2.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded358
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration39.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? · No | 0.888 | 1.000 | $1.0k | +$117.11 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? · No | 0.908 | 0.999 | $1.0k | +$92.78 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 25? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $273.06 | +$2.60 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 90 and 100 million views on week 1? · No | 0.967 | 1.000 | $269.87 | +$8.67 |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.181 | 1.000 | $61.52 | +$50.39 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.75 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 48 million views on day 2? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.80 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? · No | 0.463 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$76.24 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$321.15at 0.396Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$287.12at 0.120Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1?
- +$259.78at 0.863Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 940m by September 30?
- +$242.52at 0.750Will MrBeast's next video get at least 40 million views on day 1?
- +$196.17at 0.170Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 03:53 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.18 | $4.05 |
| 09-25 03:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.1820906068 | $4.38 |
| 09-25 03:34 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $270.47 |
| 09-23 15:14 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4? | SELL | 0.0903493047 | $10.79 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.4766672224 | $28.59 |
| 09-23 13:08 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.38 | $3.80 |
| 09-23 10:21 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.3979 | $39.79 |
| 09-23 09:51 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.6726992699 | $67.26 |
| 09-23 07:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.35 | $0.71 |
| 09-23 07:02 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.32 | $6.40 |
| 09-23 04:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 56.5 and 58.0 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.54 | $48.74 |
| 09-23 04:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 55.0 and 56.5 million views on day 4? | BUY | 0.5259126585 | $52.27 |
| 09-20 15:18 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 48 and 51 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.109045 | $4.36 |
| 09-20 15:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get at least 51 million views on day 2? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.18 |
| 09-20 12:49 | Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.43 | $19.35 |