rago
0xb16373f900798ad6e26a169341c68c0d710e6062
- Realised P&L
- $346.57
- Volume
- $93.2k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$327.18at 0.385Will Lamine Yamal win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$196.16at 0.170Will Elon tweet between 220 and 239 times September 5–12?
- +$133.83at 0.410Spain to score first vs. France?
- +$132.64at 0.601Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1?
- +$127.44at 0.460England to score first vs. Argentina?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 15:04 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.8161663333 | $244.85 |
| 08-09 12:03 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.7999676667 | $239.99 |
| 08-09 09:39 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.81 |
| 08-09 09:38 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.78 | $62.79 |
| 08-09 09:37 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | SELL | 0.7967602462 | $258.95 |
| 08-09 02:17 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.8760769231 | $284.73 |
| 08-09 00:14 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | SELL | 0.15 | $28.50 |
| 08-08 22:38 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.97 | $495.71 |
| 08-08 22:25 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 60 and 70 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.41 | $33.00 |
| 08-08 17:23 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 50 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.89 | $221.09 |
| 08-08 16:42 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.45 | $29.16 |
| 08-08 16:35 | Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.82 |
| 08-07 23:17 | Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 17? | BUY | 0.26 | $49.40 |
| 08-03 14:22 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.0831152941 | $7.06 |
| 08-03 04:26 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.099 | $3.96 |