PolyBot

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Traders

0xb15bd4171b3c89feb152526121e616742dbe7a88

0xb15bd4171b3c89feb152526121e616742dbe7a88

Realised P&L
$-36.37
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
617
Open portfolio
$4.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded617
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? · Yes0.2700.355$1.31+$0.31
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.7540.796$1.06+$0.06
Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? · No0.9500.969$1.03+$0.02
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.115$0.77−$0.23
Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? · Yes0.2400.140$0.58−$0.42
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Under0.2900.000$0.00−$1.08
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malygina · Elena Malygina0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22? · No0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · ThunderTalk Gaming0.2840.000$0.00−$39.00
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score · No0.6100.000$0.00−$1.18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6920.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.7070.000$0.00−$1.00
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 13:31Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?SELL0.95$1.00
08-09 01:08Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election?BUY0.9599993156$1.01
08-08 14:27Fight to Go the Distance?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-06 09:22Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.7539999819$1.00
08-04 20:05Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-04 19:48Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-04 19:48Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?BUY0.9499998119$1.01
08-04 00:30San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersBUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-03 17:50Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.74$1.00
08-03 16:44LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.089999919$1.00
08-03 16:11LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-03 16:10LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 16:07LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 15:59LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 15:59LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00