PolyBot

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Traders

0xb15bd4171b3c89feb152526121e616742dbe7a88

Realised P&L
$-29.56
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
611
Open portfolio
$4.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded611
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-07-16? · Yes0.3800.340$1.70$0.20
Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04? · No0.5700.585$1.03+$0.03
Will the Democratic Party win the NV-02 House seat? · Yes0.2700.225$0.83$0.17
GOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.125$0.83$0.17
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets0.5000.000$0.00$1.00
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Under0.2900.000$0.00$1.08
Hamburg European Open, Qualification: Jule Niemeier vs Elena Malygina · Elena Malygina0.4000.000$0.00$1.00
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-22? · No0.1200.000$0.00$1.00
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend · ThunderTalk Gaming0.2840.000$0.00$39.00
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Score · No0.6100.000$0.00$1.18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. San Diego Padres · San Diego Padres0.1700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15? · No0.6920.000$0.00$1.00
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14? · No0.7070.000$0.00$1.00
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4600.000$0.00$1.00
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees: O/U 10.5 · Over0.5800.000$0.00$1.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 00:30San Francisco Giants vs. Texas RangersBUY0.6699999196$1.00
08-03 17:50Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence PlayoffsBUY0.74$1.00
08-03 16:44LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.089999919$1.00
08-03 16:11LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8199999836$1.00
08-03 16:10LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 16:07LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 15:59LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 15:59LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonBUY0.8299999087$1.00
08-03 11:43Mubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael JodarBUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-03 10:10Will Auyl win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?SELL0.36$0.73
08-03 08:02Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-08-04?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
08-02 07:25LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-02 07:25LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.2899998666$1.00
08-02 07:25LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.29999982$1.00
08-02 07:25LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - LPL Group AscendBUY0.29999982$1.00