0xb15bd4171b3c89feb152526121e616742dbe7a88
0xb15bd4171b3c89feb152526121e616742dbe7a88
- Realised P&L
- $-36.37
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 617
- Open portfolio
- $4.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded617
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$14.67at 0.221Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-08-01?
- +$4.89at 0.173Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
- +$4.52at 0.646Spread: Los Angeles Sparks (-3.5)
- +$4.51at 0.187LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffs
- +$3.68at 0.220Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 13:31 | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | SELL | 0.95 | $1.00 |
| 08-09 01:08 | Will Ricardo Samaniego win the 2026 El Paso County Judge election? | BUY | 0.9599993156 | $1.01 |
| 08-08 14:27 | Fight to Go the Distance? | BUY | 0.29999982 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 09:22 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.7539999819 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 20:05 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.7299998102 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:48 | Will the National Party win 30-34 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? | BUY | 0.239999856 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 19:48 | Will Indiana use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? | BUY | 0.9499998119 | $1.01 |
| 08-04 00:30 | San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 17:50 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - 1win Essence Playoffs | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:44 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:11 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:10 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 16:07 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:59 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 15:59 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |