8d92ja9313
0xb1589045e28a9c2501ad177549499132fae40b71
- Realised P&L
- $-169.13
- Volume
- $16.3k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $88.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on September 16? · Yes | 0.870 | 1.000 | $59.96 | +$7.77 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.925 | $16.65 | +$1.35 |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 17? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.900 | $11.70 | +$0.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$48.89at 0.185Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
- +$45.23at 0.303Ethereum Up or Down - July 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET
- +$43.91at 0.268Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
- +$43.10at 0.230Ethereum Up or Down - July 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET
- +$42.59at 0.279Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-14 04:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.05 |
| 08-01 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.86 | $6.14 |
| 08-01 12:21 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 1? | BUY | 0.87 | $11.31 |
| 07-31 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 33°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.869 | $8.69 |
| 07-31 14:37 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 26°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $12.90 |
| 07-30 22:02 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $14.79 |
| 07-30 21:49 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $14.79 |
| 07-30 21:39 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $14.79 |
| 07-30 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $14.24 |
| 07-30 21:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.87 | $7.83 |
| 07-30 15:12 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.89 | $8.90 |
| 07-29 22:53 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.87 | $14.79 |
| 07-29 21:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.87 | $14.79 |
| 07-29 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.87 | $9.57 |
| 07-29 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.91 | $13.65 |