PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

toast1

0xb15292d914f4452cc7f60952ccecc6091826e8e6

Realised P&L
$-0.39
Volume
$5.8k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$0.04

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? · Yes0.2400.001$0.04−$19.96
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$4.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET · Up0.0000.000$0.00+$0.00
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? · Yes0.5540.000$0.00−$35.00
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? · Yes0.1140.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET · Up0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Down0.0800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.1940.000$0.00−$50.00
Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs Djokovic · Alcaraz0.6400.000$0.00−$30.00
Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 2–6 seconds? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Liam Lawson get pole position at the 2025 F1 Las Vegas Grand Prix? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:32Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?BUY0.2399999981$20.00
08-07 04:40Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ETBUY0.549999956$5.00
08-07 04:38Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETBUY0.01$5.00
03-29 05:55Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix?BUY0.1143857387$10.00
03-28 23:44Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETBUY0.1928268415$49.39
03-28 23:18Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETSELL0.32$5.52
03-28 23:17Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.0699999363$1.00
03-28 23:16Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ETBUY0.3299997822$0.98
03-28 23:14Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETBUY0.0090000001$1.00
03-28 21:25Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ETBUY0.1468572429$9.92
03-28 20:54Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETBUY0.08$1.99
03-28 20:50Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ETBUY0.359999987$9.73
03-26 20:15US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.15$53.57
03-25 01:30US forces enter Iran by March 31?BUY0.1399999976$50.00
03-25 01:23Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?SELL0.126$37.83