toast1
0xb15292d914f4452cc7f60952ccecc6091826e8e6
- Realised P&L
- $-0.39
- Volume
- $5.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $0.04
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.7% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$104.75at 0.330Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Australian Grand Prix?
- +$62.13at 0.037Epstein client list released in 2025?
- +$17.41at 0.365Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
- +$10.93at 0.901US military action against Hezbollah in Lebanon by Monday?
- +$3.57at 0.140US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 11:32 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $20.00 |
| 08-07 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 04:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 7, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $5.00 |
| 03-29 05:55 | Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Japanese Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1143857387 | $10.00 |
| 03-28 23:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1928268415 | $49.39 |
| 03-28 23:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | SELL | 0.32 | $5.52 |
| 03-28 23:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 23:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $0.98 |
| 03-28 23:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0090000001 | $1.00 |
| 03-28 21:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET | BUY | 0.1468572429 | $9.92 |
| 03-28 20:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET | BUY | 0.08 | $1.99 |
| 03-28 20:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET | BUY | 0.359999987 | $9.73 |
| 03-26 20:15 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.15 | $53.57 |
| 03-25 01:30 | US forces enter Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399999976 | $50.00 |
| 03-25 01:23 | Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.126 | $37.83 |