Alex-trade-
0xb148afb6b294dbc9a58511497e659aeb40e2311e
- Realised P&L
- $-9.72
- Volume
- $306.06
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $7.51
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration44.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October? · No | 0.455 | 0.487 | $5.36 | +$0.36 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? · No | 0.190 | 0.205 | $2.16 | +$0.16 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Up | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 October 5-11? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 9? · Yes | 0.070 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? · Up | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET · Down | 0.210 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.94at 0.679Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.14at 0.186Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 7?
- +$1.30at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET
- +$0.13at 0.159Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on October 8?
- +$0.03at 0.027Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 20:32 | Will Bitcoin dip to $82,500 in October? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $2.00 |
| 10-10 14:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | SELL | 0.65 | $2.41 |
| 10-10 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:45 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET | BUY | 0.2099999895 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 13:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.0299999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 15:43 | Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $510 in October? | BUY | 0.4549999995 | $5.00 |
| 10-09 13:58 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.88 | $13.13 |
| 10-08 16:16 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 16:10 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 10-08 15:38 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $68 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $1.36 |
| 10-08 14:13 | Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 October 5-11? | SELL | 0.0295 | $1.18 |
| 10-08 14:03 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.56 |
| 10-08 13:56 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $66 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999517 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 13:52 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 8? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $1.00 |