purpleeater
0xb14540e69cd0da75dc593e236d8d6f2732a14a26
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $153.2k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $331.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? · Yes | 0.161 | 0.190 | $284.43 | +$44.08 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? · Yes | 0.043 | 0.013 | $38.86 | −$96.30 |
| Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? · Yes | 0.117 | 0.017 | $8.50 | −$50.00 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$307.97 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June? · Yes | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$53.21 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$278.42 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March? · Yes | 0.059 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.99 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$297.05 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$167.99 |
| Nuclear weapon detonation by March 31? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$114.75 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $210 by end of June? · Yes | 0.037 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-2.50at 0.001Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$-4.80at 0.004Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
- +$-12.30at 0.001Will the US strike Iraq next?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 09:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.28 |
| 06-01 14:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $157.60 |
| 06-01 12:53 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.54 |
| 05-30 11:01 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.027 | $81.00 |
| 05-29 06:41 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 05-29 01:15 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.20 |
| 05-29 01:11 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.004 | $8.00 |
| 05-29 01:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $30.00 |
| 05-29 01:08 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.003 | $6.00 |
| 05-28 14:47 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.68 |
| 05-28 14:44 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31? | BUY | 0.0029932539 | $170.28 |
| 05-22 09:59 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.042 | $11.05 |
| 05-22 09:56 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.042 | $3.78 |
| 05-13 13:40 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $15,000 by end of December? | BUY | 0.042 | $1.26 |
| 04-30 00:38 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $10.05 |