TheSinCZ
0xb13ce5667fe3a75fbf8558bd091405446dd5fc9b
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $72.4k
- Markets traded
- 1,504
- Open portfolio
- $40.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,504
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$30.25at 0.450Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
- +$24.14at 0.522Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming: Draw (1-1)?
- +$18.05at 0.001Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?
- +$17.90at 0.172Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in June 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?
- +$12.09at 0.170Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from August 14 to August 21, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 11:20 | Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.54 | $0.17 |
| 10-12 06:56 | Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1? | SELL | 0.485 | $9.58 |
| 10-10 15:54 | Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.36 |
| 10-10 09:42 | Manchester City punishment announced by October 23? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.20 |
| 10-09 14:14 | Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026? | SELL | 0.027 | $0.01 |
| 10-09 05:46 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 12%-15%? | SELL | 0.14 | $0.38 |
| 10-09 05:46 | Will 1win Win the ESL Pro League Season 24? | SELL | 0.0115961538 | $0.60 |
| 10-09 05:40 | Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.15 | $1.35 |
| 10-08 02:59 | Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $0.35 |
| 10-07 21:43 | Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-07 14:40 | Exact Score: FC Augsburg 3 - 1 FC Bayern München? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.59 |
| 10-07 12:15 | Will Ethos launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.019 | $0.19 |
| 10-07 06:54 | Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 240 and 269 Minecraft deaths during the marathon? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.68 |
| 10-07 05:41 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.022 | $0.15 |
| 10-06 17:32 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 8? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.11 |