PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

TheSinCZ

0xb13ce5667fe3a75fbf8558bd091405446dd5fc9b

Realised P&L
$-1.6k
Volume
$72.4k
Markets traded
1,504
Open portfolio
$40.64

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,504
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Microstrategy announce selling any Bitcoin October 6-12? · Yes0.0100.363$14.54+$14.14
Will Valur Reykjavík finish 10th in the 2026 Besta deild karla (Iceland)? · Yes0.0100.344$5.85+$5.68
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.10 and $2.20 in September? · Yes0.3200.225$4.50−$1.90
Will Madhavee Inamdar win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? · Yes0.0010.036$2.64+$2.56
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-04 House election by 3%-6%? · Yes0.0100.111$1.55+$1.41
Will DK Metcalf have 9.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.0100.080$1.04+$0.91
Will Rhamondre Stevenson have 1.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.0100.057$1.03+$0.85
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 9%-12%? · Yes0.0010.005$0.86+$0.71
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-10-19? · Yes0.0100.056$0.78+$0.64
Manchester City punishment announced by October 23? · Yes0.0010.005$0.53+$0.43
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 10%-15%? · Yes0.0100.058$0.51+$0.42
Will Hong Kong have less than 20mm of precipitation in October? · Yes0.0010.003$0.45+$0.30
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting? · Yes0.0010.001$0.44+$0.00
Will Alibaba have the best AI Agent at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.0010.005$0.41+$0.33
Will Nikita Klepov win the 2026-27 Calder Trophy? · Yes0.0010.009$0.36+$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 11:20Will WD-40 (WDFC) beat quarterly earnings?SELL0.54$0.17
10-12 06:56Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get 55 million or more views in week 1?SELL0.485$9.58
10-10 15:54Will Lewis Hamilton achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix?SELL0.21$1.36
10-10 09:42Manchester City punishment announced by October 23?SELL0.004$0.20
10-09 14:14Will Victor Chernozhukov win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?SELL0.027$0.01
10-09 05:46Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NC-08 House election by 12%-15%?SELL0.14$0.38
10-09 05:46Will 1win Win the ESL Pro League Season 24?SELL0.0115961538$0.60
10-09 05:40Will Ukraine re-enter Hryshyne by December 31, 2026?SELL0.15$1.35
10-08 02:59Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1400 by June 30, 2027?SELL0.05$0.35
10-07 21:43Will there be between 25 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on October 31?SELL0.005$0.03
10-07 14:40Exact Score: FC Augsburg 3 - 1 FC Bayern München?SELL0.007$0.59
10-07 12:15Will Ethos launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.019$0.19
10-07 06:54Will Jynxzi, Ron, and Los have between 240 and 269 Minecraft deaths during the marathon?SELL0.007$0.68
10-07 05:41Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026?SELL0.022$0.15
10-06 17:32Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on October 8?SELL0.02$0.11