0xb1344d338a8a5e6c420e8386cd840f469081d014
0xb1344d338a8a5e6c420e8386cd840f469081d014
- Realised P&L
- $5.22
- Volume
- $325.06
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $11.29
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.6%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · No | 0.640 | 0.983 | $3.07 | +$1.07 |
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.980 | $3.06 | +$1.06 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? · No | 0.750 | 1.000 | $2.67 | +$0.67 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.165 | $1.40 | −$0.55 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.360 | $1.09 | −$0.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.94at 0.258Will the Ornn B200 Index be between $6.00 and $6.50 on August 31, 2026?
- +$5.35at 0.278Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $502.50 Week of August 31 2026?
- +$3.83at 0.349Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $185 in August?
- +$3.49at 0.371Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?
- +$3.34at 0.382Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the August 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:06 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (LOW) $252 Week of September 21 2026? | BUY | 0.6599997888 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 14:06 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 19 to September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.00 |
| 09-19 05:49 | Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-18 21:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999965 | $1.95 |
| 09-18 12:50 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 15:59 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 05:23 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.64 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 21:23 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.4099999816 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 13:22 | Will Trump say "Make America Healthy Again" during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.3399999966 | $2.00 |
| 09-16 05:22 | Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18? | BUY | 0.7499999063 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 20:13 | Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 14 to September 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999712 | $2.00 |
| 09-12 06:58 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $2.00 |
| 09-11 13:55 | Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 17:18 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 09-09 09:17 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.6099999116 | $2.00 |