dee0ne
0xb12d4f5f528aff00674bdd88d3c79cae124926d1
- Realised P&L
- $-10.3k
- Volume
- $948.5k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.125 | $625.00 | +$25.00 |
| Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? · Yes | 0.425 | 0.235 | $285.02 | −$230.92 |
| NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.053 | $53.50 | −$96.50 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.150 | $30.00 | −$94.00 |
| Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election? · Yes | 0.275 | 0.055 | $6.45 | −$25.84 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? · Yes | 0.126 | 0.050 | $1.30 | −$1.98 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in Belarus? · Yes | 0.010 | 0.004 | $1.20 | −$1.80 |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the June Meeting? · No | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.62 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$803.80at 0.740Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$308.83at 0.480Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
- +$290.95at 0.920Will Trump and Putin not meet?
- +$233.77at 0.210Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$188.85at 0.910US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 15:07 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | SELL | 0.5002453988 | $479.46 |
| 08-14 13:16 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.2k |
| 08-12 00:04 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.368081159 | $56.15 |
| 08-04 15:17 | National Bank Open: Martin Damm vs Stefanos Tsitsipas | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:36 | Hagen: Max Houkes vs Vilius Gaubas | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 14:18 | Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachko | SELL | 0.999 | $1.85 |
| 08-04 13:55 | Hagen: Lorenzo Giustino vs Vitaliy Sachko | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 15:47 | NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.036 | $0.43 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.7149948878 | $1.00 |
| 08-01 13:55 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999832 | $35.00 |
| 08-01 13:44 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $38.28 |
| 08-01 13:42 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | BUY | 0.2687813021 | $41.00 |
| 08-01 13:40 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $70.00 |
| 08-01 13:35 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.69 | $34.50 |
| 08-01 13:34 | Will Trump and Putin not meet? | SELL | 0.74 | $148.00 |