PolyBot

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Traders

Cherut

0xb12897c1a963e73a3e1682398c03fce18d57cf58

Realised P&L
$17.4k
Volume
$820.7k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$3.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2680.203$2.1k−$654.91
Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes0.7570.845$1.8k+$187.50
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? · No0.0170.005$16.43−$33.57
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.2830.000$0.00−$3.3k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? · Yes0.2980.000$0.00−$2.0k
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026? · Yes0.3690.000$0.00−$16.62
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00−$4.6k
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? · Yes0.2210.000$0.00−$1.5k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:45Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.7877128396$1.1k
11-01 18:45Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.2000201643$1.1k
11-01 14:34Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.7$490.00
11-01 14:33Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.20018$500.45
11-01 14:30Will Gadi Eizenkot receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election?BUY0.7$29.40
11-01 14:25Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.202$22.08
11-01 14:25Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.35$13.54
10-11 09:36Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?BUY0.0167377183$50.00
10-11 09:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.147$20.58
10-11 09:33Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.022$22.00
08-29 18:04Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3099999855$12.00
08-23 09:29Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.526$718.49
08-23 09:29Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.16$235.29
08-23 09:29Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.0197444928$2.9k
08-23 09:29Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.49$518.00