altmagic
0xb12547a9bc3105ff7f6fb481d0ace6235313089b
- Realised P&L
- $-15.85
- Volume
- $2.1k
- Markets traded
- 218
- Open portfolio
- $148.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded218
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.14at 0.585Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on October 8?
- +$2.19at 0.560Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8?
- +$2.13at 0.771Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on October 7?
- +$1.99at 0.600Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 8?
- +$1.99at 0.645Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 17:55 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.02 |
| 10-08 15:48 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 14:58 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.04 |
| 10-08 14:01 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 37°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 13:55 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.07 |
| 10-08 13:43 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 13°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.03 |
| 10-08 13:36 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 10-08 13:12 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.05 |
| 10-08 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 10:59 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 09:57 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.62 |
| 10-08 09:41 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |
| 10-08 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-08 08:21 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on October 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |