0xb113dc3fbd32b6f8d0a5c13c48a13c6a8c678bc6
0xb113dc3fbd32b6f8d0a5c13c48a13c6a8c678bc6
- Realised P&L
- $29.9k
- Volume
- $8.59M
- Markets traded
- 4,445
- Open portfolio
- $2.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,445
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Felix Auger-Aliassime Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes | 0.789 | 0.360 | $843.68 | −$1.0k |
| Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.740 | 1.000 | $399.80 | +$103.80 |
| Islanders vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.550 | 1.000 | $399.80 | +$179.80 |
| Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.540 | 0.595 | $238.00 | +$22.00 |
| Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.420 | 0.370 | $148.00 | −$20.00 |
| Kings vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.730 | 0.795 | $42.62 | +$3.48 |
| Will Alex de Minaur Make the Top 10 in the 2026 ATP end of year rankings · Yes | 0.730 | 0.415 | $29.88 | −$22.68 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 6.5 · Under | 0.550 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$220.00 |
| Penguins vs. Flyers: O/U 5.5 · Under | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$168.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.9kat 0.369Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?
- +$1.3kat 0.878Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
- +$1.1kat 0.576Will Lionel Messi score 10+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.1kat 0.536England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
- +$1.1kat 0.720US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaur
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 18:25 | Will Linke win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.91 | $187.60 |
| 09-20 18:25 | Will Grüne win the third-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.8999090909 | $49.49 |
| 09-20 18:24 | Will SPD win the second-most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.9892620471 | $402.16 |
| 09-20 18:23 | Will AfD win between 32% and 35% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.996626506 | $17.37 |
| 09-20 18:23 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: More Votes to CDU or Linke? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.00 |
| 09-20 18:23 | Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election: CDU Over/Under 10%? | BUY | 0.964 | $48.20 |
| 09-20 18:22 | Will Linke win less than 8% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.9699830439 | $333.51 |
| 09-20 18:21 | Will Linke win between 8% and 11% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.9572875226 | $105.88 |
| 09-20 18:18 | Berlin State Election: Grüne Over/Under 17%? | BUY | 0.9482015994 | $152.95 |
| 09-20 18:17 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to AfD or SPD? | BUY | 0.9945819368 | $99.11 |
| 09-20 18:17 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to CDU or Grüne? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-20 18:16 | Berlin State Election: More Votes to Linke or AfD? | BUY | 0.9769979475 | $90.44 |
| 09-20 18:16 | Will SPD win at least 16% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.997 | $370.37 |
| 09-20 18:16 | Will SPD win less than 10% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.9904534973 | $38.66 |
| 09-20 18:15 | Will AfD win less than 14% of all valid second votes? | BUY | 0.9898392637 | $401.14 |