lig5168o
0xb10a4e32664d32f9918c0b9bb12b2fe2430ba53c
- Realised P&L
- $-55.36
- Volume
- $9.1k
- Markets traded
- 594
- Open portfolio
- $1.14
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded594
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.49at 0.190Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September?
- +$12.47at 0.415Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$8.40at 0.720Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
- +$8.35at 0.666Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$8.15at 0.185Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 14:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-12 21:18 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | SELL | 0.7 | $17.00 |
| 10-05 07:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.3499999825 | $5.00 |
| 10-02 06:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on October 2? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 10-02 06:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.66 | $6.60 |
| 10-01 10:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.13 | $2.60 |
| 10-01 08:58 | Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in October? | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 10-01 08:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 September 28-October 4? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-22 15:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 15:43 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.4299998882 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 09-22 13:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-22 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $1.60 |
| 09-22 12:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.78 | $3.90 |
| 09-22 12:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 22, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |