0xB0F6189BD760d4067E71cEb2205f66c6cBf110fb-1761586520282
0xb0f6189bd760d4067e71ceb2205f66c6cbf110fb
- Realised P&L
- $715.92
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? · No | 0.780 | 1.000 | $511.74 | +$112.38 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? · No | 0.711 | 0.998 | $406.75 | +$117.03 |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.105 | $84.00 | −$148.00 |
| Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Over/Under 17%? · Over | 0.640 | 0.996 | $7.72 | +$2.76 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? · No | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$136.00 |
| Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026? · No | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$423.62at 0.270Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10?
- +$358.70at 0.220Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Natus Vincere (BO3)
- +$128.41at 0.894Will Spotify's top song on Christmas be 'All I Want For Christmas Is You'?
- +$98.95at 0.929Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$51.00at 0.490Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:25 | Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-13 13:38 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.8292605738 | $56.07 |
| 09-13 13:37 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 09-13 10:23 | Will Swedish Social Democratic Party (S) win less than 27% of all valid votes? | BUY | 0.78 | $399.36 |
| 08-29 21:42 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.69 | $186.30 |
| 08-29 18:23 | Sweden Parliamentary Election: Örebropartiet Win Seats? | BUY | 0.7 | $11.67 |
| 08-09 18:50 | Will IK Sirius win on 2026-08-10? | BUY | 0.26 | $150.80 |
| 05-18 13:27 | Will West Ham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.92 | $73.79 |
| 05-16 20:18 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.071 | $7.10 |
| 02-28 21:41 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.987 | $98.70 |
| 02-26 16:36 | Will Felicia win Melodifestivalen 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $21.60 |
| 12-19 20:05 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | BUY | 0.17 | $136.00 |
| 12-19 20:02 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.94 | $244.40 |
| 12-14 17:54 | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.32 | $201.60 |
| 12-14 01:18 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.79 | $15.79 |