nipert
0xb0f3facc6f21b32293e0f5d75be99222893b340a
- Realised P&L
- $-7.26
- Volume
- $9.2k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $0.22
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $0.22 | −$0.22 |
| Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.86 |
| Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3% and 6%? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.69 |
| Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.05 |
| Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$56.42at 0.001Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?
- +$2.41at 0.002Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
- +$0.00at 0.001Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025?
- +$-0.24at 0.002Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?
- +$-1.00at 0.001Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 20:11 | Will David Leslie win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.44 |
| 07-15 15:26 | Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 05-26 18:58 | Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 04-16 21:15 | Will Joshua Griffin win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election? | BUY | 0.002 | $0.09 |
| 03-04 19:14 | Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami (BJI) win the Bangladesh parliamentary election by between 3% and 6%? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.64 |
| 03-02 23:39 | Will Movement for a Better Hungary (Jobbik) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 02-17 23:04 | Will the next Dutch government be GL/PvdA + VVD + D66? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 01-08 14:34 | Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.05 |
| 12-25 07:41 | Will Gold close at $3,000-3,100 at the end of 2025? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 12-25 07:40 | Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.07 |
| 12-15 23:19 | Will Ethereum hit $14,000 by December 31? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-13 01:08 | Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-11 03:10 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from December 5 to December 12, 2025? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 12-08 03:18 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |