PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

KingKerf

0xb0eb0986d8165f4cdc430927c019f2c21b8b889a

Realised P&L
$-25.13
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
25
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded25
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)92.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.569$2.6k+$39.89
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September? · Yes0.0720.049$0.68−$0.32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28? · Yes0.3000.170$0.57−$0.43
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28? · Yes0.3000.105$0.35−$0.65
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025? · Yes0.5490.000$0.00−$3.00
Maduro mugshot released by January 16? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00−$1.00
Maduro out by November 30, 2025? · Yes0.0510.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$8.41
Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10, 2026? · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 04:14Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 28?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-28 03:49Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 in September?BUY0.071703863$1.00
09-28 02:39Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 28?BUY0.29999994$1.00
09-25 16:26Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5596805199$2.5k
06-27 18:33Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.29$8.41
06-24 01:55Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.64$5.50
06-22 20:43Will France win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.92$5.14
06-22 17:28Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.6$3.09
06-22 17:23Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.99$3.13
05-24 22:09Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.6199999431$1.96
05-24 21:35US strike on Colombia by December 31?SELL0.2$1.43
05-24 21:33Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.043$0.60
03-09 20:38Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.2339999598$3.25
01-06 16:03Maduro mugshot released by January 16?BUY0.2199998548$1.00
01-06 16:01Trump announces new drug boat strike by January 10, 2026?BUY0.4799998272$1.00