0xB0E6c7A5133DC4646C71254e4c14fC3C7C3EeBc6-1769033113329
0xb0e6c7a5133dc4646c71254e4c14fc3c7c3eebc6
- Realised P&L
- $235.93
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 82
- Open portfolio
- $926.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded82
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes | 0.421 | 0.737 | $349.39 | +$149.39 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.640 | 0.715 | $328.84 | +$34.49 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.454 | 0.431 | $183.09 | −$9.97 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 20, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.650 | $52.00 | +$32.00 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.013 | $12.85 | −$6.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$290.69at 0.708Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
- +$126.68at 0.324Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$97.38at 0.080Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
- +$93.84at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
- +$88.60at 0.467Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:41 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.0k |
| 11-01 02:23 | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BUY | 0.6702658744 | $417.00 |
| 11-01 02:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | SELL | 0.754100133 | $306.21 |
| 11-01 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5028975764 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 02:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4925264043 | $200.00 |
| 11-01 02:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | SELL | 0.23 | $76.59 |
| 11-01 02:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | SELL | 0.7463840638 | $248.79 |
| 11-01 02:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3930675676 | $130.89 |
| 11-01 02:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4499999991 | $150.00 |
| 11-01 02:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.3799999996 | $20.00 |
| 11-01 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $23.33 |
| 11-01 02:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 02:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4918773032 | $94.77 |
| 11-01 01:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET | BUY | 0.3518864022 | $81.31 |
| 11-01 01:56 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET | BUY | 0.1899999998 | $10.00 |