ClarenceFerreiro
0xb0dc21feb3be5448da6fac2459c65b2436c405a3
- Realised P&L
- $-0.84
- Volume
- $69.94
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $5.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration55.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.405 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.795 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? · No | 0.800 | 0.805 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18? · No | 0.830 | 0.835 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? · Yes | 0.700 | 0.685 | $0.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? · Yes | 0.510 | 0.495 | $0.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Sunderland AFC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ukraine win on 2026-09-25? · No | 0.710 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19? · No | 0.060 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.399Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
- +$1.41at 0.422Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10?
- +$0.29at 0.779Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-19?
- +$0.26at 0.769Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06?
- +$0.23at 0.808Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 18:24 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5099998215 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:43 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:41 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:39 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:38 | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 19:37 | Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:35 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.98 | $5.02 |
| 10-06 20:29 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 20:27 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.97 | $1.27 |
| 10-06 20:15 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.994 | $1.24 |
| 10-06 19:16 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 10-06 19:06 | Will Croatia win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:10 | Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-10? | BUY | 0.4099998975 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 17:08 | Will Spain win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.78 | $1.00 |
| 09-25 20:06 | Will Hungary vs. Ukraine end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $2.00 |