PolyBot

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Traders

Laury2

0xb0da6365d8f96fb41232c7570b1d2f2e4b3c3ff6

Realised P&L
$1.9k
Volume
$127.7k
Markets traded
567
Open portfolio
$315.56

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded567
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9? · No0.8940.940$132.54+$6.42
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 9? · No0.5890.625$91.25+$5.26
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8? · No0.5300.750$63.00+$18.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8? · No0.6000.265$11.66−$14.74
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3470.225$9.00−$4.90
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3450.355$5.04+$0.14
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0940.033$2.69−$5.01
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.2800.009$0.37−$11.95
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on June 12? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$2.86
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 96-97°F on August 14? · No0.7610.000$0.00−$197.79
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on September 14? · No0.6110.000$0.00−$36.64
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 14? · No0.5190.000$0.00−$75.74
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on July 31? · No0.5700.000$0.00−$35.34
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 29? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$5.40
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 84°F or higher on May 29? · No0.7030.000$0.00−$105.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 16:39Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?BUY0.92$24.84
10-08 16:30Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?BUY0.91$4.55
10-08 16:28Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?BUY0.8939655172$51.85
10-08 16:27Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 9?BUY0.59$56.05
10-08 16:26Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on October 9?BUY0.88$44.88
10-08 16:26Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on October 9?BUY0.5870588235$29.94
10-07 23:14Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on October 7?BUY0.96$18.85
10-07 14:21Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.53$13.78
10-07 14:20Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?BUY0.6$4.20
10-07 14:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?BUY0.6$18.59
10-07 14:08Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on October 8?BUY0.6$3.60
10-07 14:07Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8?BUY0.53$30.74
10-07 03:21Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 7?BUY0.77$10.78
10-07 03:20Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 7?BUY0.8$38.40
10-07 03:19Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on October 7?BUY0.77$7.70