PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

rphs

0xb0cbd13e27656235ace3534a035e8498f9aad31c

Realised P&L
$-20.77
Volume
$754.43
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$368.14

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample20 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12? · No0.3720.435$11.14+$1.61
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 12? · Yes0.1730.190$10.48+$0.95
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12? · Yes0.5900.620$10.01+$0.48
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on October 12? · No0.5400.560$9.88+$0.35
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on October 12? · No0.5000.515$9.82+$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on October 12? · Yes0.5600.575$9.79+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12? · No0.3900.400$9.77+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on October 12? · No0.6000.615$9.77+$0.24
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on October 12? · Yes0.4300.440$9.75+$0.22
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on October 12? · No0.7100.720$9.66+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 16°C on October 12? · No0.6270.635$9.66+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on October 12? · No0.6600.660$9.53+$0.00
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 84-85°F on October 12? · No0.6700.665$9.46−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on October 12? · No0.6700.665$9.46−$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 12? · No0.5410.535$9.42−$0.10

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 21:28Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.6999999853$9.53
10-11 21:28Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C on October 13?BUY0.2685908103$9.53
10-11 21:28Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 12?BUY0.5599999788$9.53
10-11 21:28Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on October 12?BUY0.5409631119$9.53
10-11 21:28Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 12?BUY0.3721890936$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 12?BUY0.5899999771$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on October 12?BUY0.4299999941$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 13?BUY0.239999996$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 12?BUY0.2685908103$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 12?BUY0.228799582$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 12?BUY0.243609407$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on October 12?BUY0.1865094231$9.53
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 12?BUY0.0837364706$7.12
10-11 21:27Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on October 12?BUY0.7199999849$9.53
10-11 20:56Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 12?BUY0.389999991$9.53