ewillis
0xb0ca505abc1f5e853674436de8f58b3a61a097e7
- Realised P&L
- $20.78
- Volume
- $10.4k
- Markets traded
- 76
- Open portfolio
- $7.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded76
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.800 | 0.815 | $7.43 | +$0.14 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.43at 0.968Will Google have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$2.47at 0.978Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
- +$2.42at 0.977Will Anthropic have the top AI model on May 31?
- +$1.55at 0.770Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 25?
- +$1.52at 0.986Will xAI have the top AI model on May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 21:15 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.8 | $7.29 |
| 01-31 13:25 | Will Lighter dip to $1.00 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.31 |
| 01-31 13:21 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.90 |
| 01-30 16:11 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.61 |
| 01-30 12:38 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of January? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.89 |
| 01-30 12:10 | Will Solana reach $150 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.41 |
| 12-30 11:38 | Will XRP reach $4.00 before 2026? | BUY | 0.9989998987 | $3.63 |
| 12-30 11:14 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.27 |
| 12-30 10:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999593 | $14.40 |
| 12-30 00:11 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9899999047 | $6.34 |
| 12-29 22:33 | US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025? | BUY | 0.9979999918 | $39.59 |
| 12-29 20:14 | Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $31.46 |
| 10-30 18:20 | Ethereum all time high by October 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $30.99 |
| 09-29 09:31 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by September 30? | BUY | 0.9979999999 | $19.71 |
| 09-29 01:22 | Will Solana reach $300 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.11 |