smd2026
0xb0bde928b7df7bbd986e7ea734a0f066fe9fb9a3
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $302.50
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $84.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration69.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election? · Yes | 0.534 | 0.480 | $58.86 | −$6.64 |
| Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.405 | $10.41 | +$1.41 |
| Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? · Yes | 0.272 | 0.100 | $5.89 | −$10.11 |
| Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.295 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.053 | $4.10 | −$0.90 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 19:56 | Will Daniel Fontaine win the 2026 New Westminster mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2715151489 | $16.00 |
| 10-12 19:52 | Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election? | BUY | 0.3499999961 | $9.00 |
| 10-12 19:52 | Will Trish Mandewo win the 2026 Coquitlam mayoral election? | BUY | 0.0646123255 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 19:51 | Will Tom Dyas win the 2026 Kelowna mayoral election? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $5.00 |
| 10-12 19:44 | Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7400655544 | $2.97 |
| 10-12 19:44 | Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6 | $30.00 |
| 10-12 19:35 | Will Eric Woodward win the 2026 Langley Township mayoral election? | BUY | 0.474169448 | $32.53 |