musk9527
0xb0bd984f5f0f4093180cf7db213c20cbfc5544cb
- Realised P&L
- $30.79
- Volume
- $99.5k
- Markets traded
- 111
- Open portfolio
- $51.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded111
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.645 | $12.90 | −$3.10 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.590 | $11.80 | −$1.20 |
| Will BNB dip to $300 in August? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $11.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $11.00 | +$0.01 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.510 | $5.10 | −$0.80 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No | 0.910 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.65 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.11 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.49at 0.688Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
- +$16.50at 0.450Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$9.75at 0.610Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?
- +$6.67at 0.005Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
- +$4.87at 0.006Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-28 06:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 08-28 06:40 | Will BNB dip to $300 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 08-28 06:39 | Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $16.00 |
| 08-28 06:39 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 08-28 06:39 | Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.65 | $13.00 |
| 06-26 16:25 | Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $129.61 |
| 06-26 16:24 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 06-26 16:23 | Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1711107143 | $9.58 |
| 05-24 17:32 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.97 |
| 05-24 17:32 | Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.91 |
| 05-24 17:32 | Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.97 |
| 05-24 17:31 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? | BUY | 0.997 | $21.93 |
| 05-24 17:30 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.98 |
| 05-24 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 05-24 17:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $10.00 |