PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

musk9527

0xb0bd984f5f0f4093180cf7db213c20cbfc5544cb

Realised P&L
$30.79
Volume
$99.5k
Markets traded
111
Open portfolio
$51.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded111
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.8000.645$12.90−$3.10
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027? · Yes0.6500.590$11.80−$1.20
Will BNB dip to $300 in August? · No0.9991.000$11.00+$0.01
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August? · No0.9991.000$11.00+$0.01
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.5900.510$5.10−$0.80
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February? · No0.9100.000$0.00−$13.65
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET · Up0.2300.000$0.00−$1.15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.1000.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 7? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00−$1.11

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-28 06:40Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in August?BUY0.999$10.99
08-28 06:40Will BNB dip to $300 in August?BUY0.999$10.99
08-28 06:39Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.8$16.00
08-28 06:39Will Bitcoin hit $100k by June 30, 2027?BUY0.59$5.90
08-28 06:39Will Bitcoin hit $100k by September 30, 2027?BUY0.65$13.00
06-26 16:25Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?BUY0.997$129.61
06-26 16:24Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.999$14.98
06-26 16:23Will BNB reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.1711107143$9.58
05-24 17:32Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?BUY0.997$10.97
05-24 17:32Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in May?BUY0.997$30.91
05-24 17:32Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.998$14.97
05-24 17:31Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May?BUY0.997$21.93
05-24 17:30Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026?BUY0.999$21.98
05-24 17:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.05$1.00
05-24 17:29Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETBUY0.96$10.00