ridethelightning
0xb0bc67b38a585fb29ec950c11832d87fb34bd246
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $14.9k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $163.11
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? · Yes | 0.615 | 0.195 | $163.11 | −$351.16 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? · Yes | 0.464 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$555.01 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.081 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$999.99 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-15 04:59 | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999995 | $300.00 |
| 01-06 07:55 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.640152872 | $400.00 |
| 01-06 07:52 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2027? | BUY | 0.54 | $114.27 |
| 12-01 22:34 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BUY | 0.6642806167 | $185.23 |
| 12-01 22:32 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $11.73 |
| 12-01 22:30 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BUY | 0.51 | $20.97 |
| 12-01 22:27 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $82.00 |
| 12-01 22:26 | Will Half-Life 3 be announced before 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $248.83 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.0812828986 | $1000.00 |